My bathroom
scales disclosed recently that I have added a few unwelcome kilos. I
can't
prove anything yet, but I am pretty sure that Goldman Sachs is behind
it.
I've
uncovered some pretty compelling evidence, all backed up by some very
big
numbers to reduce its implausibility. Consider: Last August, Goldman
decided to
help Dole Foods sell $446 million in stock so that Dole could cut down
its $1.9
billion in debt. Goldman and the three other banks that underwrote the
deal
pulled in a reported $81 million in fees, part of which undoubtedly went
to pay
Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein's $9 million deferred stock bonus. One of
Dole's
biggest products is - that's right - bananas, rising sales of which in
booming Asia contributed to $3.7 billion in fresh fruit sales at Dole in
the first 9 months of 2009. Now everyone knows that the best way to
serve
bananas is buried in ice cream and topped off with 500 calories worth of
chocolate
syrup, whipped cream, walnuts and a maraschino cherry.
Delicious
and diabolical. But wait, there's more. Following that seeming piece de
resistance, what does Goldman do? Last month, it signed up to help a
company
called Express sell $200 million in stocks, again to pay down debts. And
what
does Express sell? Clothes. Coincidence? I don't think so.
This is
just one example of how bankers, motivated by pure unbridled greed, are
pursuing profits at the expense of the public interest. You should hear
what
Goldman has been up to in Greece .
Apparently bankers from Goldman spent years finding ways to sell
products to Greece that
would enable its government to keep borrowing even after exceeding the
limits it
agreed to when it joined the European Union. Goldman would, for example,
structure a deal in which investors would give Greece cash in return for
a promise
that it would pay them later with revenues from some lucrative business,
like
the airports or the national lottery. And because this was packaged as
the sale
of future income, it wasn't technically a loan and so Greece didn't
have to list it among its debts.
Then, a
little company that Goldman and other banks control last year
conveniently
established a set of bathroom scales for Greek debt called the iTraxx
SovX
Western Europe index. This index tracks the price of several European
government credit default swaps, which are insurance policies against
debt
default. You buy a credit default swap, or CDS, on a borrower and if he
defaults, you still get paid. People trade these CDSs, and the price
rises or
falls depending on how likely investors think the borrow is to pay up.
Sneaky
bankers! Imagine lending money to some schmuck you know is already
overly
indebted and trying to profit from it. That's like offering Krispy Kreme
credit
cards with loyalty points to the morbidly obese. Or giving a second
mortgage to
some American with no credit rating and no education. Or buying bonds
from Dubai even after it tells you
its debts are larger than its entire economy. That doesn't happen, does
it?
Why yes,
it does, except perhaps for the Krispy Kreme part. There are people out
there who gladly profit from our lack of self
control. I was at Lulu last week and there were absolutely no warning
labels on
the baklava. Does Lulu have no shame? And unless you're in a Toyota,
there is
virtually no way to hold a car company responsible for building SUVs
that can
roar down the highway at 200kph and wrap themselves around lampposts.
As a
result, there's a rearguard action by columnists, pundits and other
so-called
experts to assign responsibility for Greece 's
debt problems on, of all people, Greece .
Haven't the
Greeks been through enough already? First there was that trollope
Helen of Troy, who launched a thousand ships on fraternity row. Now
we're
awash in bad Greek clichés, being told to beware of Greeks bearing
Trojan
horses, singing siren songs or Spartan ditties.
And now the
Europeans are after the credit-default swaps, in particular naked
trading of
CDS. Don't get excited. This is not derivatives trading on a nude beach.
Naked
trading is when the holder of the CDS doesn't own the bond the CDS is
supposed
to insure. In what is now a rather tired comparison, naked CDS trading
has been
likened to allowing your neighbor to buy fire insurance on your house.
You
shouldn't be surprised if next time you see him he's fertilizing your
lawn with napalm.
Regulators
want to know just who among the hedge funds has been betting against the
Euro
and if they're the same people who stand to be paid off if the Greeks
default. Somehow I see this all coming back to Goldman.
The
Germans, meanwhile, are upset about having to bail out the profligate
Greeks, with
some German politicians suggesting that Greece should sell of a few
islands
to balance the books. They already have, judging from the number of
German
retirees that appear to have occupied much of coastal Greece .
Forgotten,
somehow, in all of this is the fact that when it comes to cheating on
their fiscal
diets, the Europeans look worse than the US government.
The Greeks
fudged their accounts when they joined the EU and kept cooking the books
thereafter,
low-balling their annual deficits and then revising them upwards later,
according to a report by the Wall Street Journal. But it was an open
secret, it seems, in
the European Union. Belgium ,
France , Portugal and Spain -- none had apparently
reached the targets needed to enter the currency union when they did so
back in
1999.
I can't decide who I
should blame. Can I get
another tray of baklava over here?