Read my prospectus: no new funds
Posted in: The Current Account
Posted by: Wayne Arnold on August 4, 2009 12:44 PM
Tags:
Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi Investment Council, ADIA, ADNOC, bonds, fiscal policy, markets, Mubadala, oil, SWFs
One of the great mysteries of life in Abu Dhabi, along with how to get a new national ID card or find a taxi on a Thursday night, is just how the government doles out surplus oil revenues to its various sovereign wealth funds. Neither the government nor the funds themselves disclose the formula by which the cash gets divvied up. Conventional wisdom holds that after ADNOC covers its own costs and finances the government's budget, it pays out the remainder as a dividend to the SWFs, with 70 per cent going to the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and 30 per cent to its baby brother, the Abu Dhabi Investment Council. That division may have shifted as more funds are lavished on Mubadala.
Analysts have speculated that ADIA and the Council are receiving less
new oil cash to invest abroad as oil prices fall and the government
boosts spending to ease the pain of the crisis. This turns out to be
true in the extreme. A
copy of the prospectus for Abu Dhabi's $10bn bond
programme, issued to potential investors back in April, includes one of the clearest
explanations of how much Abu Dhabi has been earning from oil and how it
plans to spend it. It also includes this seemingly innocuous line on
page 94 of its 123 pages: "In 2009, it has been determined that the
payments on account of dividend and any final dividend paid to
ADIA and
ADIC by ADNOC will be transferred by those entities to the government with a view to financing the projected
budget deficit for 2009."
This may come as a disappointment for those expecting Abu Dhabi's SWFs
to become bigger players in overseas markets. Aside from the dividends
and interest on existing investments, the only way they stand to raise
more funds for new investments is to sell those they already have.